The Spanish Cup Final between Barcelona and Real Madrid will take place on April 26 at the Olympic Stadium in Seville. Barcelona vs. Real Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Barcelona
The Catalans hold the record for the most trophies in the Copa del Rey with 31. They last won this tournament four years ago, defeating Athletic in the final with a 4-0 scoreline. In the current Spanish Cup campaign, Hans Flick's team has convincingly beaten their first three opponents: Barbastro (4-0), Betis (5-1), and Valencia (5-0). The semifinal, however, was challenging as they had to face Atletico. They advanced thanks to an away victory (4-4 and 1-0).
- The club is unbeaten in regulation time in their last 8 Copa del Rey matches (6 wins and 2 draws).
- Barcelona has scored at least two goals in 7 of their last 8 matches in this tournament.
- The Catalans have won the first half in their last six Copa del Rey matches.
Predicted lineup for Barcelona (4-3-3)
Wojciech Szczesny – Jules Kounde, Inigo Martinez, Gerard Martin, Pau Cubarsi – Frenkie de Jong, Pedri, Dani Olmo – Ferran Torres, Raphinha Dias, Lamine Yamal.
Midfielders Marc Casado and Marc Bernal, as well as defender Alex Balde and forward Robert Lewandowski, are sidelined due to injuries.
Real Madrid
Real Madrid's trophy cabinet includes 20 Copa del Rey titles. Their last victory in this tournament came in 2023 when they defeated Osasuna 2-1 in the final. The current Copa del Rey campaign has been challenging for Carlo Ancelotti's side, as they comfortably advanced only against Deportivo Minero (5-0). They then faced Primera Division teams: they beat Celta only in extra time (2-2, extra time 3-0), and scored the decisive goal against Leganes after the 90th minute (3-2). In the semifinals, they overcame Real Sociedad (1-0 and 3-4, extra time 1-0).
- The team is unbeaten in regulation time in their last nine Copa del Rey matches (6 wins and 3 draws).
- Both teams scored in 6 of Real Madrid's last 8 matches in this tournament.
- Real Madrid has not won the second half in their last four Copa del Rey games (2 draws and 2 losses).
Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-4-2)
Thibaut Courtois – Antonio Rudiger, Federico Valverde, Raul Asensio, Fran Garcia – Aurelien Tchouameni, Luka Modric, Dani Ceballos, Jude Bellingham – Rodrygo Goes, Vinicius Junior.
Defenders Eder Militao and Dani Carvajal, as well as midfielder Eduardo Camavinga, are out due to injuries.
Referee
Ricardo de Burgos Bengoetxea (Spain)
Matches – 20 (La Liga, Copa del Rey, and Spanish Super Cup, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 66;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 20%.
Barcelona vs. Real Madrid: Match Prediction
This season, Hans Flick's team has faced Real Madrid twice. In the first encounter, a La Liga match, the Catalans triumphed 4-0. The second match was the Spanish Super Cup final, where Barcelona once again emerged victorious in a high-scoring affair, winning 5-2.
Encounters between these teams are known for their high scoring. At least three goals have been scored in 14 of the last 15 meetings in La Liga, Copa del Rey, and Spanish Super Cup. Additionally, Barcelona is the top-scoring team in the current La Liga (averaging 2.7 goals per game) and the Champions League (3.1 goals).
I expect Real Madrid to find the net as well, as they will be eager to secure at least one trophy this season. In La Liga, Madrid averages exactly two goals per match, and they have scored against Barcelona in 6 of their last 7 official encounters.
I anticipate a high-scoring match, so my prediction is Total over 2.5 goals
